Monday, October 23, 2006

Let Me Know What You Think

I thought it would be interesting and fun to take the pulse of the readers of Secondhand Smoke. So, I devised a poll to see what y'all think about some of the most important and contentious bioethical issues of the day.

In the Next Twenty Years, What is the Most Likely Scenario?
Embryonic Stem Cells Provide Most of the Cures Promised by Proponents
The First Human Cloned Baby is Born
Chimpanzees Are Declared to Be Legal Persons
Fetal Farming Is Used to Supply Organs for Transplantation
The First Death-On-Demand Suicide Clinic Opens
  
Free polls from Pollhost.com

18 Comments:

At October 23, 2006 , Blogger Wesley J. Smith said...

I should have included an "All of the Above" and a "None of the Above." Next time.

 
At October 23, 2006 , Blogger Jason Rennie said...

I picked suicide clinics, but I think cloned baby will be first if they manage to crack that one successfully. Although maybe after sucicde clinics.

 
At October 24, 2006 , Blogger Royale said...

I picked human cloning as that seems both likely and not nebulous. Despite the technological problems, I bet that will happen sooner than you think. Too many rogue scientists want the popularity that would come with it, despite the many ethical concerns.

Suicide clinics "on demand" are probably likely, but what is "on demand." Some might argue that it is currently happening.

The others I don't think are likely.

 
At October 24, 2006 , Blogger Wesley J. Smith said...

Anyone wishing to explain their votes are encouraged to do so.

 
At October 24, 2006 , Blogger Royale said...

For clarification, what do you mean by "fetal farming?"

Do you mean in vitro style growing fetuses outside of a womb and using that as an organ bank? Or, do you mean abortions and using the fetal tissue for tranplant?

If the former, I doubt that'll happen ever, based on the technological hindrances.

If the latter, then I think it will occur very soon, if not already happening, in the like of China or North Korea.

 
At October 24, 2006 , Blogger Wesley J. Smith said...

By fetal farming I mean intentionally creating embryos, not for birth, but for gestation to the fetal stage (whether in natural or artificial enviroments) and use in research, organ procurement, etc.

 
At October 24, 2006 , Blogger Lydia McGrew said...

I was balanced between the chimp's being declared a person and the suicide clinic but went for the latter. I assumed you meant more than just some one wacko court's declaring the chimp a person. I suppose that might happen in California any day now, but it would be overturned pretty fast. And as for the suicide clinic, don't they already have those in one European country or more? Switzerland, I seem to recall? The question didn't specify the U.S., but even if it had, the fact that something's already being done in Europe is a pretty good bellwether when we're talking about 20 full years of U.S. time.

 
At October 24, 2006 , Blogger Wesley J. Smith said...

Lydia: There is a private suicide clining called Dignitas in Switzerland. It isn't explicitly legalized but we are well on that path. Plus, the Netherlands now permits the depressed to be euthanized.

Re the Chimps: Spain may pass a law declaring them to be persons in the near future.

 
At October 24, 2006 , Blogger Royale said...

A guardian ad litum for animals or nature in general? That won't happen in the fed system, but maybe a state. I'd support it for the general environment, but probably not individual animals, for after all, we give "personhood" to corporations. The voice of Nature and environment is surely outvoiced and far more important, than corporations.

 
At October 24, 2006 , Blogger Wesley J. Smith said...

Actually, my Naderite leanings would remove artificial personhood from corporations. Why should an organization have freedom of speech, for example. Individuals should have freedom of speech. But that is beyond the scope of this Weblog.

 
At October 24, 2006 , Blogger gwenhwyfar said...

I thought all except the first seemed likely, but I picked fetal farming since it is very easily defended on utilitarian grounds and such thinking has already entered the mainstream, and also-and correct me if I'm wrong on this-it seems significant percentage of the population (though not a majority I don't think) views fetuses as non-persons. Although I had forgotten about the private assisted suicide clinic in Switzerland or I might've gone with that since that is also easy for proponents to defend as they can appeal to emotions and ideas like autonomy (I see that working well in the U.S where a lot of people have libertarian leanings).

Something else I'm quite concerned about is that preimplantation genetic screening will be able to screen for an ever-increasing number of conditions and even traits, and that "designer babies" will become more common in the near future. And that we'll see less and less people with disabilities-even "diffibilities" like Asperger's Syndrome (a mild form of autism) where those who have it are often gifted (although I think I'm more of an example of a non-gifted aspie!) while attempts to find cures and treatments for them quietly fade away. The new eugenics is alarminlgy easy to justify, much to my frustration.

 
At October 24, 2006 , Blogger Wesley J. Smith said...

gwenhwyfar: It is already happening. They are screening out and destroying embryos because they might have a propensity to adult onset cancer.

 
At October 25, 2006 , Blogger Jen Saunders said...

Better chimps than rats!

 
At October 25, 2006 , Blogger Wesley J. Smith said...

They're next!

 
At October 26, 2006 , Blogger Jen Saunders said...

After that it will probably be the cockroaches and all pesticides will be outlawed.

 
At October 26, 2006 , Blogger Wesley J. Smith said...

DDT was and millions of African children paid the price by dying from malaria.

 
At October 26, 2006 , Blogger marci said...

I think that we will be seeing suicide "clinics," embryo farming, and cloning for harvesting human body parts within two or three years. One thing that will play into the call for suicide "clinics" is the mainstream media's relentless stream of articles about the problems of aging. That will scare the yuppies who are not used to thinking of themselves as not athletic or perhaps unattractive. To help myself come to terms with my own fears of these eventualities, I have taken to reading just for the joy of it the Vermont Country Store catalog. As I scan the products they sell, I find it so comforting that such things dry skin and cold feet and veins that show in the wrong places have not only been plaguing us for years but that we've been sort of solving them for years. I look at the drawings of the sweet grandparents in rocking chairs and it takes me back to my Norman Rockwell childhood. And somehow seeing balms and special stockings is humorous and makes light of aging's issues and makes one feel as though everyone is going through this. They don't pretend to cure anything, but socks and salves will make you more comfortable. It's an attitude toward life and living that is absent from the hollywoodized world the reporters and writers of the mainstream media sell. But I'm sure many of the people my age are already filled with fear and wishing to control life's natural processes if they can. Some of this has resulted from the well-intended preventive medicine movement, which I think went beyond helpful and into condemning at some point on their continuum of existence. It has also made us all very self-conscious and self-focused. That much attention on ourselves is not healthy emotionally, and so it is creating,in a way, distress, which I think will lead to fear and isolation and people wishing to exit by themselves because we have made them feel ashamed.

 
At October 28, 2006 , Blogger Wesley J. Smith said...

You are more pessimistic than I am. I think we will see fetal farming, unless we can convince people to outlaw all cloning, when there is an artificial womb, say in ten years or so. The same arguments being made today, will be made then. And the hope will be to cure Michael J. Fox's Parkinson's because I doubt ES cells will--unless adult stem cells have already done the job.

I think suicide clinics may not happen here. I think they will overseas.

I think a few countries will begin declaring chimps to be persons within 5 years, probably starting with Spain.

I don't think ES cells will provide most of the cures being touted today. I think they will be valued more for basic research.

If human cloning can be done--if we are lucky, it can't be--the first cloned baby will be born within ten years.

 

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